Thursday, August 16, 2012

HBT: Giants probably not a playoff team now

With Melky Cabrera done for at least the rest of the regular season?after testing positive for enhanced testosterone levels, the Giants may well fall short of the playoffs this year. Though perhaps that?s for the best, given that the cheater is a big reason they?re tied for the NL West lead at the moment.

Cabrera has hit .346/.390/.516 with 11 homers, 60 RBI and 13 steals this season. That .906 OPS was good for eighth place in the National League. It was also 97 points higher than his 2011 mark with the Royals and 177 points higher than his career mark of .729 entering the season.

Baseball-reference WAR places Cabrera as the NL?s fourth-best position player this season. Fangraphs WAR rates him the 11th best.

Needless to say, the team?s fallbacks don?t compare. Nate Schierholtz will be missed, since he was included in the Hunter Pence trade. Gregor Blanco, whose role was reduced when Pence arrived, figures to see a lot more action now. He?s hitting just .232/.329/.343 for the season, and he?s at .137/.297/.196 in 51 at-bats since the All-Star break. Justin Christian figures to return to the majors to replace Cabrera on the roster.

Perhaps the Giants will go get Alfonso Soriano from a Cubs team perfectly willing to cover a big portion of his salary. He?d replace Melky?s power, though not his on-base ability. Aubrey Huff, on the DL with a strained knee, could factor into the mix in left next month, but it?s nothing the Giants can count on.

The Giants simply can?t afford any drop-off and still expect to reach the playoffs. They?re tied with the Dodgers for the NL West lead, but the Dodgers are playing better baseball at the moment. Their 64-53 record is tied for fifth-best in the NL. As things stand now, both the Braves and Pirates have better records in the wild card spots, with the Cardinals just a half-game behind.

Cabrera will be eligible to play beginning with the Giants? fifth game of the postseason if the team does advance, but that would turn into a farce if it happens. It?d be another black mark for baseball if Cabrera could get a PED suspension and still be a postseason hero in the same year.

Source: http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/2012/08/15/giants-probably-not-a-playoff-team-without-melky-cabrera/related/

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Wednesday, August 15, 2012

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Little chance for ebola vaccine

Scientists researching the lethal ebola virus have told the BBC that a commercial vaccine to prevent the onset of infection may never be developed.

Two companies with leading vaccine candidates have had their funding from the Pentagon suspended in recent weeks.

An expert said it was now "unlikely" a prophylactic vaccine would ever be used to prevent outbreaks of the disease.

Ebola is often described as the most frightening disease on Earth.

The virus causes a severe haemorrhagic fever, where victims bleed both internally and externally.

The virus attacks white blood cells and blood vessels, causing a rash, red eyes, severe abdominal pain and vomiting.

Continue reading the main story

?Start Quote

Overall we've made great progress but unfortunately we are still far away from commercial use. It is hard to say when a vaccine might be available, if ever?

End Quote Dr Heinz Feldmann Rocky Mountain Laboratories

In recent weeks, an outbreak in western Uganda claimed the lives of at least sixteen people. There is no specific treatment and the virus can kill up to 90% of those who become infected.

Efforts to develop a vaccine have been funded in the main by the US Department of Defense and the National Institutes of Health. They have poured millions of dollars into scientific research because of concerns that the virus could be turned into a biological weapon.

As a result of this funding, several vaccine candidates have been developed and have shown themselves effective in animal trials.

Two companies, Sarepta and Tekmira have begun human safety trials of their vaccines.

But in recent days, both companies have been told by the Defense Department to temporarily stop work on their vaccines due to funding constraints. It is expected that a decision to either resume testing or completely terminate the contracts will be made by early September.

Scientists say their understanding of the nature of the virus has markedly improved over the past decade. But the chances of turning that knowledge into a vaccine are very dependant on money.

All about the money

Gene Olinger, a virologist at the US Army Research Institute of Infectious Disease at Fort Detrick in Maryland, told BBC News: "With the current funding, if it doesn't change, I would say there should be a vaccine in five to seven years. It could double or triple it if the funding goes away."

There is also a big concern over the lack of a large pharmaceutical company which might be willing to develop and market a vaccine for ebola. Since the disease was first discovered in 1976, slightly more than 2,200 people have been infected. And outbreaks have been almost impossible to predict.

Continue reading the main story

Where does Ebola come from?

Scientists at the World Health Organisation believe that fruit bats from the Pteropodidae family are the natural hosts of the ebola virus. Although non human primates are often the source of the infection they are not thought to be a reservoir but rather an accidental host.

The virus gets into humans through the consumption of infected animals or through contact with their blood, secretions and organs. It can pass from human to human via bodily secretions and fluids. Burial ceremonies in some parts of Africa where mourners have direct contact with the body of the deceased have played an important role in spreading the disease.

There are five different strains of ebola, three of which have caused outbreaks in Africa. The Reston species discovered in monkeys imported from the Philippines can infect humans but doesn't appear to have caused illness or death to date. Due to its high mortality rate, ebola is classified as a category A bio terrorism agent by the US Centers for Disease Control.

Larry Zeitlin is the president of Mapp Biopharmacueticals, a small company involved in the development of a therapy for ebola. He says that since the disease is sporadic and extremely deadly, it limits the numbers of people who are affected. But it also limits the commercial potential of any therapy.

"I think it's unlikely that a large pharmaceutical company would get involved," he explained.

"There isn't a huge customer base and big pharma is obviously interested in big profits. So these niche products which are important for biodefence are really driven by small companies."

This uncertainty over funding and the absence of interest from large pharmaceutical firms is leading some scientists to argue that a preventative vaccine might never see the light of day.

Heinz Feldmann is one of the world's leading experts on ebola. He oversees haemorrhagic fever research at Rocky Mountain Laboratories in the United States. He strikes a realistic note about the prospects for a vaccine.

"Overall we've made great progress but unfortunately we are still far away from commercial use. It is hard to say when a vaccine might be available, if ever," he said.

Practical steps

Others are even more sceptical on the basis of the science. Larry Zeitlin says that the challenges in developing a working therapy and worries over a mass innoculation programme will severely limit any prospective ebola vaccine.

"I think it's unlikely you'll see a vaccine that's used in millions and millions of people to prevent the disease, that might only come about if the nature of the disease changed, if it became something spread through airborne contact more like the flu," he said.

While progress has been slow in developing new therapies or vaccines, experts say that big steps have been taken in learning how to manage outbreaks and trace the contacts of those who come down with the disease.

Gene Olinger believes the recent outbreak in Uganda shows that developing new drugs is not the only approach that can be successful against ebola.

"I think they have the infrastructure now to do their own diagnostics, they can then call in help when they need it," he explained.

"The rapid response we saw in the Uganda outbreak indicates they have a greater control over their ability to respond. That makes a big difference. They've done a really good job."

Source: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-19112510#sa-ns_mchannel=rss&ns_source=PublicRSS20-sa

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Neanderthal sex debate heats up again

M. Hofreiter / K. Fiusterweier

Researchers say some Neanderthals may have had pale skin and red hair similar to that of some modern humans. Explaining the genetic similarities, however, can lead to a tangled tale.

By Alan Boyle

One of the most titillating tales in the study of human origins ? focusing on whether Neanderthals interbred with modern humans ? has just gotten more tangled.

Over the past couple of years, studies of Neanderthal DNA samples painstakingly extracted from ancient bones have suggested that contemporary non-Africans can trace up to 4 percent of their genetic code to our long-extinct Neanderthal cousins. The genomes of modern-day Africans, in contrast, have virtually nothing in common with the Neanderthals. Researchers assumed that the genetic contribution for the non-Africans was passed down through?cross-species sex during the time that Neanderthals and Homo sapiens lived in close proximity in Europe, tens of thousands of years ago.

However, there's another possibility: Maybe that common genetic code was passed down from the common ancestor of Homo sapiens and Homo neanderthalensis, hundreds of millions of years ago in Africa. Today, researchers at the University of Cambridge reported in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences that such a scenario provides a better fit for the genetic data. They say there's no need to assume that humans did the Neanderthal nasty, a process known more scientifically as hybridization.?


"Our work shows clearly that the patterns currently seen in the Neanderthal genome are not exceptional, and are in line with our expectations of what we would see without hybridization," the lead researcher, Andrea Manica, said in a Cambridge news release. "So, if any hybridization happened?? it's difficult to conclusively prove it never happened?? then it would have been minimal and much less than what people are claiming now."

Modeling population dynamics
Manica and his colleagues set up a computer model for the last half-million years of population dynamics, with the assumption that there were two migrations from Africa. The first migration led to the settlement of Europe by the ancestors of the Neanderthals, hundreds of thousands of years ago. Then, around 300,000 to 350,000 years ago, the route from north Africa to Europe was cut off somehow. The European and north African populations showed gradual genetic divergence, but still retained a bit of common heritage from their mutual ancestors.

When the second migration from Africa took place, around 60,000 to 70,000 years ago, the north Africans who dispersed to Europe and Asia would carry that extra bit of genetic similarity with them. But the Africans who lived farther south and stayed behind on the continent wouldn't have as much genetic kinship with the Europeans.

The researchers found that their model did a fine job of accounting for the existing data without Neanderthal sex.

So what do the researchers behind the earlier DNA studies say? That's where it gets really interesting: One study, published online in April in Molecular Biology and Evolution, contends that ancient population dynamics alone can't account for the genetic distribution patterns seen in the DNA from Neanderthals and modern humans. Another study, posted on the arXiv preprint server and due for publication in PLOS Genetics, takes a closer look at a genetic pattern known as linkage disequilibrium ? and concludes that modern humans and Neanderthals must have interbred somewhere between 37,000 and 86,000 years ago. Nature's Ewen Callaway delves into the details surrounding those claims and counterclaims.

Either-or proposition?
So, to recap: Some scientists say the population dynamics that were in effect hundreds of thousands of years ago can explain genetic similarities between populations, even if those populations never interbred. Others say the evidence is getting stronger that humans and Neanderthals really did mate when they met up, tens of thousands of years ago.

University of Washington geneticist Joshua Akey says both sides just might be right.

"To me, I don't think it's a case of either-or," he told me. "I think that both things can be going on."

Akey and his colleagues recently published a study in the journal Cell suggesting that a mysterious "Neanderthal sibling species" made a genetic contribution to the DNA of modern-day Africans. He said that interpreting whether genetic similarities come from a common ancestor (a process known as archaic population structure) or from more recent cross-species sex ( a process that Akey calls intergression) is a tricky but essential task for those who study human origins.

"Ultimately, it's important that we come to a consensus as to one process or the other, but I find them both to be interesting interpretations," Akey said. "Intergression is a sexier mechanism, but even if it turns out to be a case of archaic population structure, that still tells us something about our past that we didn't know before."

So did modern humans do it with Neanderthals or not? And to what extent? Today, maybe it's a tangled tale, but that won't necessarily be the case forever. Akey said he was optimistic that researchers will be able to "tease apart" the different influences from the two processes within the next year or so.

More about ancient hominid sex:


Cambridge's Anders Eriksson is Manica's co-author on the paper published by the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, titled "Effect of Ancient Population Structure on the Degree of Polymorphism Shared Between Modern Human Populations and Ancient Hominins."

Authors of the study in Molecular Biology and Evolution are Melinda Yang, Anna-Sapfo Malaspinas, Eric Durand and Montgomery Slatkin.

Authors of the preprint destined for PLOS Genetics are Sriram Sankararaman, Nick Patterson, Heng Li, Svante P??bo and David Reich.

Alan Boyle is NBCNews.com's science editor. Connect with the Cosmic Log community by "liking" the log's?Facebook page, following?@b0yle on Twitter?and adding the?Cosmic Log page?to your Google+ presence. To keep up with Cosmic Log as well as NBCNews.com's other stories about science and space, sign up for the Tech & Science newsletter, delivered to your email in-box every weekday. You can also check out?"The Case for Pluto,"?my book about the dwarf planet and the search for new worlds.

Source: http://cosmiclog.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/08/13/13265954-did-humans-and-neanderthals-do-it-some-experts-doubt-it?lite

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Robert Pattinson's 'Cosmopolis': Everything You Need To Know

If you're expecting the David Cronenberg-directed flick to be just the next Pattinson movie, you may be in for a surprise.
By Kevin P. Sullivan, with reporting by Josh Horowitz and Josh Wigler


Robert Pattinson in "Cosmopolis"
Photo: Alfama Films

Source: http://www.mtv.com/news/articles/1691737/robert-pattinson-cosmopolis.jhtml

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Tuesday, August 14, 2012

Babies grow up ?healthier? with dogs in the home

Don't mind me, I'm just saving your baby's life (KDKA)

There is emerging science that children who grow up in households that have dogs as pets have less respiratory illnesses than those who grow up without dogs.

The claim is made in a new study conducted by University Hospital in Finland and published in the American Journal of Pediatrics.

"I think a number of these studies are really telling us there's not a reason to kick the dog out of the house and it actually might be a good thing for a baby to be born into the home," said Dr. Todd Mahr, who chairs the American Academy of Pediatrics' section on allergy and immunology, in an interview with the Chicago Tribune.

The health benefit is believed to derive from when dogs expose children to safe, low-levels of bacteria and germs, helping to inoculate them against more serious illnesses.

The study followed 397 children through the first year of their lives.

Study results showed that young children who grew up with a dog in the home were "healthy" 81 percent of the time, compared to 64 percent for children who grew up without dogs.

Cats were also shown to have a beneficial health effect on young babies, but to a lower degree than dogs.

Source: http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/sideshow/babies-grow-healthier-dogs-home-191507354.html

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Cholesterol Levels Have Gone Down In Kids, Teens ? CBS Detroit

Aug. 7, 2012 ? Cholesterol levels have improved among children and teens in the United States over the past two decades, despite rising obesity rates during the same period, the CDC says.

Researchers analyzed data on more than 16,000 children and teens enrolled in a national health survey for the study, which appears in the Aug. 8 issue of the Journal of the American Medical Association.

Total Cholesterol Down, HDL Up

Among kids and teens between the ages of 6 and 19, significant declines were identified in average total cholesterol levels, while beneficial increases were seen in high-density lipoprotein (HDL), or good cholesterol.

The study did not explore the reasons for the improvement, but researchers say two positive trends may have played a role.

?We know that factors that contribute to blood cholesterol in children include diet, physical activity, consumption of saturated fats, and exposure to secondhand smoke,? says Brian K. Kit, MD, of the CDC?s National Center for Health Statistics.

He tells WebMD that the emphasis on replacing trans fats and other saturated fats with healthier fats in commercially available foods, as well as public health initiatives to reduce secondhand smoke exposure, may have contributed to the decline.

Rise in Obesity Cause for Concern

Pediatric cardiologist Sarah de Ferranti, MD, of Harvard Medical School and Boston Children?s Hospital, says while there is reason for optimism in the new findings, the rise in childhood obesity during the same period remains a major cause for concern.

According to the CDC, the obesity rate among children and teens in the U.S. has tripled since 1980.

?There is certainly a concern that the obesity epidemic will overwhelm any benefits we might see from this positive trend,? she tells WebMD. ?As overweight kids become overweight adults, this is certain to have a negative impact on heart disease and diabetes.?

American Heart Association president Donna Arnett, MD, echoes the sentiment. She is a professor and chair of epidemiology at the University of Alabama at Birmingham.

?There is reason for optimism in the finding that cholesterol levels seem to be on the decline in our youth, despite the unfavorable trend in obesity,? she says. ?Looking to the future, we need to do all that we can to see if this trend continues.?

More Study Needed, Expert Says

The CDC researchers assessed cholesterol and blood fat levels during three time periods among kids and teens between the ages of 6 and 19.

Between the time of the first survey, conducted between 1988 and 1994, and the third, conducted between 2007 and 2010, the prevalence of youths with elevated total cholesterol levels declined from around 11% to 8%. The prevalence of teens with elevated blood fats and LDL (bad cholesterol) also decreased.

De Ferranti says future research should focus on identifying the cause or causes for the decline to guide health policymakers in the future.

?These studies could help us understand which types of interventions have the biggest impact,? she says.

Source: http://detroit.cbslocal.com/2012/08/13/cholesterol-levels-have-gone-down-in-kids-teens/

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